wireframes v2 · Situation · AGRIPPA · Early money leaving · illustrative values, no design
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data health ● 2 issues
Robinhood Chain tape12 s
Solana tape40 s
BSC tapedegraded57 of 64 pools erroring since 06:10
price61 s
Fomo4 min
Telegram preview5 min cadencemessage-id gap 09:40 to 09:55
Xdark since 18 Sepno API credit; no X attention anywhere
holder reads (RPC)18 minRobinhood Chain only
issues: X dark, BSC tape degraded. Freshness is also printed beside each number on the page.
AGRIPPA Robinhood Chain 0x82ef…1e18 ⧉
age 1 d 0 hcap $1.9M 15 s-73% from the first-hour highliquidity $140K
Early money leaving
was Attention first until 09:40

Attention came first: 19 wallets before the call, 1,213 in the hour after it. Since 09:40 the early cohort has been leaving: 98 of its 142 wallets have reduced or left, by RPC read.

Why this state
  1. y 20:52▲ev c-3310 · first caller call, 8 min after tape start; 19 wallets were in · attention light lit first
  2. y 21:44●ev t-0060 · 1,070 wallets in by minute 60, from 142 at minute 30 (tape)
  3. y 21:52●ev t-0068 · 1,213 wallets in within the hour after the call
  4. 09:40▼ev h-1180 · early cohort (142 wallets) retention 61% → 39% by RPC read, a step of 22 points · state changed
  5. 20:36▼ev h-1391 · retention 39% → 31% (latest read, 34 min old)
rule: Early money leaving = an attention light lit while early-holder retention falls. It replaced Attention first at 09:40. Recomputed every tick; any word can follow any word.
lights now
callersattentionwalletstradersholderstapemomentumsafety

Clock · since first seen · first hour widened, then hours

1 h24 hsince first seen
y 20:4421:1421:4403:4409:4415:44now 21:10≈pricemoneyholdersattentionsafetyyouTelegram gap0.0003810.00137, first-hour high0.000367Fomo 21:3219 in1,070top-20 1.00 → 0.3761% → 39%31%call 20:52stance → neutral 14:05renounced · LP lockedlast look y 22:30Attention first → Early money leaving · 09:40attention led money by about 52 min (19 wallets before the call, 1,070 by 21:44)
lane sources: attention Telegram preview, 5 min · X dark · holders early cohort retention (RPC) · 34 min
● tracked wallet in · ◆ Fomo-profiled trader in · ○ out · ▲ mention or call · ▽ stance change · ▼ holder step · ☑ safety check · □ LP event · │ your checkpoint · ║ state changed · hatched = source missing or cannot see
the double line marks the state change. Lag source: Telegram preview at 5-minute cadence, X dark since 18 Sep; the call time is the channel post time.

Since you looked · last look yesterday 22:30

  1. ║State changed: Attention first → Early money leaving09:40
  2. −Early cohort retention 61% → 39% → 31% (142 wallets, RPC read)20:36
  3. ▽The first caller changed stance: positive → neutral14:05
  4. −Fomo-profiled trader #1 reduced by half16:20
  5. ?Holder read is 34 min old; the next pass is due 21:1520:36
sorted by materiality, not by time · material = a light's first event, a light going off, a safety event, a stance change, or a holder-retention step of 10 points or more (wave 0 rule, provisional)

Waiting for

A fresh holder read that shows whether the early cohort has stopped leaving.

Early money leaving is recomputed from retention. Two flat reads in a row would drop the word back to Attention first, or to Developing if the attention light also goes off.

evidence below · open a section to read it
Holders early cohort 142 → 31% still holding; top-20 share 1.00 → 0.37 in the first hour RPC 34 min
early cohort (142 wallets in by minute 30): holding / reduced / out
at the call
holding 100%
09:40
holding 39%out 47%
20:36, latest
31%out 55%
top-20 share of attributed float
1.00 at 5 min · 0.76 at 30 · 0.37 at 60 · 0.43 at 24 h
wallets holding (tape)
1,782 at 24 h
the 19 before the call
held 100% of the float at the call; 9% now
top-20 falling from 1.00 to 0.37 in an hour is the distribution-to-the-crowd shape (T5 §1.8).
Money and participants 1,213 wallets in the hour after the call; net outflow 5 of the last 6 hours tape 15 s
net flow per hour, 24 h (black in, white out)
wallets in before the call
19, 4 recurring
in the hour after
1,213, 157 recurring
Fomo-profiled traders
3 in, 1 reduced
Attention and callers called 8 min after tape start; mentions fading since morning member view: caller names show here
mentions per hour, Telegram preview
channelfirststance nowhistory
PowsGemy 20:52neutralpositive → neutral 14:05
Sugary 21:20positivepositive
Safety Safety intact as of 1 min
mint and freeze
renounced
LP
locked 30 d · $140K
deployer
0.8% · 0 exits
Powered by GoPlus · LP events from our tape
Similar situations n 54, held until Gate 1a
held until Gate 1a and a lawyer · the layout is shown, the numbers are illustrative
this pattern: 54 earlier situations · each dot about 5% of them
random moment on the same tokens (baseline)
● reached +20% net of costs, held 5 min, before -30%, within 24 h · ○ fell 30% first · hatched = neither in 24 h
median time to +20%, where reached
1 h 40 min
median drawdown before it
-14%
censoring
tokens that stopped trading count at their last print
Illustrative. Medians only, n printed, random-moment rate beside it. Method: Record, method note.
Record frozen basis 27 Sep
basis
frozen 27 Sep 2026; this room freezes when the situation closes
earlier situations here
none on this token or deployer
frozen rooms ▸
Data notes what this room cannot see, and every source clock
holders
RPC read every 30 min; last 34 min ago; next due 21:15
attention
Telegram preview, 5 min; gap 02:40 to 03:40
X
dark since 18 Sep
tape
15 s